Given the failure of a resource, how does this this affect your delivery time?

Simulation Modeling and Analysis

  1. Downtime Modeling
    • Build probability distributions or schedules for resource downtime in your FlexSim model (e.g., Mean Time Between Failures (MTBF) and Mean Time To Repair (MTTR)).
  2. Scenario Analysis
    • Run scenarios where a critical machine fails for a certain duration. Observe queue build-up, lead time, and any additional delays downstream.
  3. Contingency Testing
    • Test alternative routings or backup resources in the model. Track how quickly WIP recovers and how delivery times are affected.
  4. Sensitivity Analysis
    • Vary the time or frequency of failures to measure how robust your system is. This helps assess risk and potential recovery strategies.

Lean Thinking Principles

  1. Redundancy vs. Efficiency
    • Lean typically minimizes excess inventory or backup machines, but some redundancy might be necessary for critical processes to ensure uninterrupted flow.
  2. Poka-Yoke (Error Proofing)
    • If a failure is frequently triggered by a particular cause, implement error-proofing or preventive maintenance to reduce downtime risk.
  3. Preventive Maintenance (TPM)
    • Lean’s Total Productive Maintenance (TPM) focuses on proactively caring for equipment to reduce unplanned failures and maintain steady flow.
  4. Buffer Management
    • While Lean seeks to reduce unnecessary inventory, strategic buffer stocks before the most failure-prone resource can protect the downstream flow when a failure occurs.